Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 8.396690 9.641878 11.029429 12.693993 14.641577 16.854054 19.566202
2025-01-19 6.638489 8.205530 10.099780 12.571726 15.732181 19.663810 24.966037
2025-01-26 5.815568 7.587792 9.862965 13.025671 17.351911 23.125379 31.518867
2025-02-02 5.183978 7.063912 9.597564 13.306193 18.670498 26.262458 38.025792
2025-02-09 4.782064 6.766911 9.557968 13.833737 20.333744 30.032551 45.958580
2025-02-16 4.217480 6.156852 8.981631 13.476980 20.603397 31.726109 50.925237
2025-02-23 3.814683 5.729454 8.609770 13.357409 21.182959 33.922811 56.977325
2025-03-02 3.475702 5.356992 8.271377 13.232668 21.710484 36.065040 63.221475
2025-03-09 3.169578 5.001313 7.916046 13.027031 22.056252 37.913201 69.188366
2025-03-16 2.885555 4.651576 7.531380 12.720262 22.173272 39.347817 74.570503
2025-03-23 2.791847 4.605244 7.641425 13.275800 23.890594 43.908757 86.777518
2025-03-30 2.641292 4.446898 7.542039 13.439691 24.891702 47.232312 97.005558
2025-04-06 2.461153 4.224174 7.314245 13.351844 25.418962 49.737163 106.030774
2025-04-13 2.288344 3.999240 7.061365 13.188085 25.774120 51.938923 114.783389
2025-04-20 2.219067 3.955273 7.134498 13.663337 27.487678 57.235245 131.693725
2025-04-27 2.131856 3.869664 7.119969 13.958793 28.856235 61.972625 148.177420
2025-05-04 2.081811 3.849473 7.227827 14.515117 30.860292 68.440492 170.354138
2025-05-11 1.931854 3.623400 6.910540 14.138858 30.724321 69.874942 179.526033
2025-05-18 1.821514 3.466619 6.718585 14.012763 31.147413 72.717617 193.140198
2025-05-25 1.719860 3.319243 6.533160 13.881225 31.540083 75.540038 207.285985
2025-06-01 1.618402 3.164559 6.319702 13.664398 31.699005 77.787208 220.213451
2025-06-08 1.515455 2.999290 6.070691 13.340971 31.554523 79.216593 230.954557
2025-06-15 1.498050 3.011806 6.203840 13.926707 33.790607 87.423932 265.059759